2010 Big Ten Conference Tournament Preview

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

03/09/2010 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 13th Annual Big Ten Conference Tournament gets underway on Thursday, March 11th from Conseco Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana. Purdue is the defending tournament champion, having topped Ohio State in last year's title tilt, 65-61. It was the Boilermakers' first-ever Big Ten Tournament championship, leaving four teams (five if you count Michigan's vacated title in 1998) still to claim the crown.

The top five seeds in this year's event received byes through to the quarterfinals, leaving six teams to battle in the opening round on Thursday. Three teams finished with identical 14-4 league ledgers, as Purdue, Ohio State and Michigan State all had solid seasons and shared the Big Ten's regular- season title. The Buckeyes received the top seed in the tournament as they won the tie-breaker, and the Boilermakers and Spartans were given the second and third seeds, respectively.

The first game of the event pits eighth-seeded Michigan against ninth-seeded Iowa. The winner advances to play Ohio State on Friday afternoon. The Wolverines (14-16, 7-11) limp into the postseason having lost four of their last five games, and they have performed poorly outside of Ann Arbor all season, going just 3-8 in true road games and 4-10 when you factor in a 1-2 mark in neutral-site affairs. UM, which has a record of 5-10 all-time in the Big Ten tourney, boasts two double-digit scorers in the form of Manny Harris (17.7 ppg, 4.1 apg) and DeShawn Sims (16.9 ppg, 7.7 rpg), both All-Big Ten performers who finished the regular season ranked in the top-five on the league's scoring list. The team as a whole is netting just 64.4 ppg and shooting a mere 41.5 percent from the floor to rank 10th in the conference in both categories.

As for the Hawkeyes (10-21, 4-14), they had a season they would rather forget. Struggles at both ends of the court hurt the team, as it averages a league-low 60.8 ppg while surrendering 66.2 ppg to rank ninth. Additionally, Iowa ranks last in the Big Ten in turnover margin (-2.74) and doesn't have a player ranked in the top-15 on the league's scoring chart. Matt Gatens (12.4 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 3.3 apg) and Aaron Fuller (9.7 ppg, 5.9 rpg) both received All-Big Ten Honorable Mention honors, but neither is capable of carrying a team. The Hawkeyes, who have two Big Ten Tournament titles to their credit with the last coming in 2006, comes into this event having dropped five of their last six games and nine of their last 11 overall. They lost twice to Michigan during the regular season.

The second game of the opening round features a matchup between seventh-seeded Northwestern and 10th-seeded Indiana. The winner of that bout moves on to face Purdue in the quarterfinals. The Wildcats (19-12, 7-11), who are just 4-12 all-time in this event and have never won the championship, had a solid campaign, although they would have liked to have performed better in conference. Northwestern is a middle-of-the-pack club in terms of scoring (69.5 ppg), but the team does have a star in sophomore forward John Shurna (18.5 ppg, 6.4 rpg). A better than 46 percent shooter in each of his first two collegiate seasons, Shurna recently picked up All-Big Ten Second-Team honors. NU defends the three-point shot better than any team in the conference (.315), and the team ranks first in assist/turnover ratio (1.5) as well.

The Hoosiers (10-20, 4-14) had an absolutely dreadful season, and they carried an 11-game losing streak going into the regular-season finale against this same Northwestern squad. Fortunately for Indiana, it was able to post an 88-80 overtime victory over the Wildcats at home to stop the slide. The loss of Maurice Creek (knee injury) after a dozen games hurt the team as the talented rookie was averaging 16.4 ppg. Verdell Jones III (14.8 ppg) and Christian Watford (12.1 ppg) are the only active players netting double figures on a consistent basis, and the Hoosiers, who are 8-12 all-time in the Big Ten Tournament and have yet to don the crown, rank last in the league in assists (12.2 apg), assist/turnover margin (0.8) and scoring defense (71.4 ppg).

The final game of the opening round has sixth-seeded Minnesota trying to stave off the upset bid of 11th-seeded Penn State. The winner will move into the quarterfinals to take on Michigan State. The Golden Gophers (18-12, 9-9) enter the postseason having alternated wins and losses over their last four games. Tubby Smith's team, which took out Penn State twice during the regular season, is the best three-point shooting team in the Big Ten (.401), and as a result ranks second in the conference in scoring (73.4 ppg). The Gophers rank first in blocked shots (5.7 bpg) and assists (17.2 apg), and second in field goal percentage defense (.400). Lawrence Westbrook (12.9 ppg), Blake Hoffarber (10.7 ppg) and Damian Johnson (10.3 ppg) are all averaging double figures in scoring for the Gophers, who are seeking their first-ever Big Ten Tournament title.

The Nittany Lions (11-19, 3-15) have yet to raise the trophy in this event as well, and they have won just six of their previous 18 tourney tilts. Penn State put up fights against two of the teams that shared the league's regular- season title in its last two games, losing by a combined six points to Michigan State and Purdue. Prior to that, it had won three of four so the Lions are clearly playing better as they look to extend their season a bit longer. PSU boasts just one double-digit point producer on the roster, as Talor Battle (18.8 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 4.2 apg) leads the team in all three major statistical categories and ranks second in the conference in scoring. The team as a whole is producing just 65.3 ppg to rank ninth in the Big Ten, and its 64.3 ppg yield has it ranked seventh.

Fourth-seeded Wisconsin battles fifth-seeded Illinois in the quarterfinals on Friday, with the winner taking on the victor in the Michigan/Iowa vs. Ohio State game in the semis on Saturday. These same two teams met in the 2008 title tilt with UW prevailing in a 61-48 final to give the club its second Big Ten Tournament championship. The Badgers (23-7, 13-5), who have appeared in four of the last six title games, come into this postseason riding a four-game win streak, and they took care of this same Illinois squad in the regular- season finale in Champaign this past Sunday, 72-57. Although it has four double-digit scorers in the fold, UW's strength, as has been the case in virtually every year of coach Bo Ryan's tenure, is its defensive play as foes are scoring just 56.1 ppg -- the lowest yield in the league. The Badgers are the best free-throw shooting team in the Big Ten, led by Jason Bohannon's 86.6 percent effort. Trevon Hughes (15.4 ppg, 4.7 rpg) and Jon Leuer (14.9 ppg, 5.7 rpg) are the team's top two scorers, and they, along with Bohannon (12.0 ppg), were recently named All-Big Ten performers.

As for the Fighting Illini (18-13, 10-8), they had somewhat of a down year despite winning some big games along the way. Boasting four double-digit scorers led by All-Big Ten First Teamer Demetri McCamey (14.9 ppg, league- leading 6.8 apg), Illinois is averaging 70.5 ppg while allowing 66.5 ppg. The team is tops in the conference in field goal percentage defense (.399), while coming in second in defending the three-point shot (.316). In addition to McCamey, the Illini also have another award-winning player in the form of Big Ten Freshman of the Year D.J. Richardson (10.3 ppg, team-best 55 treys). Mike Tisdale (11.6 ppg, 6.1 rpg, 51 blocked shots) and Mike Davis (10.3 ppg, 8.8 rpg) are both productive guys, and give coach Bruce Weber a solid quartet on which to rely. Illinois has the best tournament record of any team in the Big Ten (22-10), and the Illini have two titles to their credit, the most recent coming in 2005.

Ohio State (24-7, 14-4) boasts the Big Ten Player of the Year in Evan Turner (19.5 ppg, 9.4 rpg, 5.8 apg), who despite missing five games with a broken bone in his back, dominated the competition almost every time he took the floor. Three other OSU players averaged double digits in scoring during the regular season, as Turner made those around him better. William Buford (14.3 ppg, 5.5 rpg) picked up All-Big Ten Third-Team honors, and coach Thad Matta was voted the league's Coach of the Year by the media. The Buckeyes, who have played in three of the last four league tourney title games, are the conference's top scoring team (73.5 ppg) and they rank second in scoring defense (60.4 ppg). At 49.4 percent from the field and 37.9 percent out on the perimeter, there isn't much this Ohio State team doesn't do well. OSU is 15-10 all-time in the Big Ten Tournament, winning two titles along the way (2002, 2007).

As mentioned in the opening, Purdue (26-4, 14-4) is the defending Big Ten Tournament champion, and comes into this year's event having won 12 of its last 13 games. Not surprising considering the overall talent coach Matt Painter (Big Ten Coach of the Year as voted by his peers) has assembled, but somewhat so when you factor in the fact that one of the team's best players, Robbie Hummel (15.7 ppg, 6.9 rpg, .902 free-throw percentage), suffered a serious knee injury a couple of weeks ago. Still, Hummel, along with teammate E'Twaun Moore (16.7 ppg, 86 assists, 42 steals), was named to the All-Big Ten First Team. Purdue owns the league's third-best scoring margin (+11.5), and is tops in turnover margin (+4.90).

Michigan State (24-7, 14-4) closed out the regular season by winning two straight and four of its last five games overall, giving coach Tom Izzo's club some momentum as it attempts to win its third Big Ten Tournament title, and its first since claiming back-to-back crowns in 1999-2000. MSU owns a 13-10 record in the event, but hasn't appeared in the championship game since 2000. Kalin Lucas (14.9 ppg, 4.0 apg) is an All-Big Ten First-Team selection, and he highlights a group of four players averaging double digits for the Spartans, who are putting up 73.1 ppg while permitting 63.9 ppg. Rebounding is Michigan State's strength as it owns a +9.3 rpg advantage -- far and away the largest margin in the conference.

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Eastern Conference Playoff Betting Trends

We all know by now that the “public” loves to put their money on the FAVORITES and the OVERS.  Just by taking a quick glance at Sportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends” it appears as is this tendency will continue as far as the Eastern Conference games are concerned.  For the inaugural games of the first round, 69% of the early money is on Toronto -4.5; 59% of bettors prefer Chicago -4.5; 84% are backing Detroit -9; and 56% think Cleveland -11.5 is the way to go.  As far as TOTALS are concerned, the only UNDER the “public” is backing is the Cleveland/ Washington game in which 83% are pounding the UNDER (190).  Remember, there is no better way to predict a possible line change than by monitoring MySportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”.   By determining who the “public” is backing, you can get the most ideal line for your bet.  For example, if you are siding with the public you better place your bet before the line moves in the wrong direction.  On the other side of the coin, if you prefer the team that the “public” is betting against; you might be able to get and extra ½ or even more by placing your bet a bit later.  Under the “Betting Trends” section, Sportsbook.com also provides plenty of statistical data and trends in order for the bettor to make the most informed pick.  Below are some extremely important trends for the first round opponents of the Eastern Conference match-ups, more can be found at MySportsbook.com

New Jersey Nets vs. Toronto Raptors

Toronto was the most reliable covering team this season with a 48-33-1 ATS record but covered the OVER only 41.5% of the time.
The last 20 times these teams have played, the TOTAL has gone UNDER 16 times.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Toronto is 33-19 ATS including 17-9 at home.
 New Jersey has covered four games in a row while Toronto has failed to cover their last four games.
When playing a team with a winning record during the second half of the season, New Jersey was just 5-13 ATS this season.
After scoring 105 points or more, Toronto has covered the OVER only 28% of the time this season. 
 
Miami Heat @ Chicago Bulls

Miami has failed to cover their last 7 games whereas Chicago has covered 6 out of their last 8 games.
Miami has covered the UNDER in four of their last five games whereas Chicago has covered the UNDER in five out of their last six.
When playing on Saturdays, Miami covered 80% of their games this season.
Away from home, Chicago is just 16-25 ATS this season.
At home, Miami covered the UNDER about 66% of the time whereas Chicago covered the UNDER about 61% of the time.
The last 13 times these teams have played each other, Chicago has covered 9 times.
In Miami’s last 11 road games, the UNDER covered 9 times. 
 
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons

Detroit has covered 5 out of their last 6 games.
Away from home, Detroit is 28-13 ATS but just 14-26-1 ATS at home.
At home, Orlando covered the UNDER 64% of the time while Detroit covered the UNDER in 63% of their away games.
The last five times these teams have played in Detroit, the OVER covered each time.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Detroit is 8-17-1 ATS at home but 17-9 ATS away.
Detroit covered the spread 5 out of the last 6 times they played Orlando.
After a Division game, Orlando covered the UNDER 87% of the time this season. 
 
Washington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers

In a home game where the TOTAL is between 190 and 194.5 points, Cleveland is 9-1 ATS this season.
Washington has covered the UNDER in their last 6 games and in 8 of their last 9 games.
The last 6 times these teams have played each other, the UNDER covered each time.
When playing on 3 or more days of rest, Washington is just 18-37 ATS since 1996.
Since 1996, Washington is 28-16 ATS versus Cleveland including 11-5 over the last 3 seasons.
In their last 7 road games, Washington is 6-1 ATS.
Versus Eastern Conference teams at home, Washington is just 6-18-2 ATS. 
 
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MySportsbook.com Releases World Series Championship Lines

New York Yankees and Chicago White Sox early favorites to win 2008 World Series
The Major League Baseball season starts this weekend and MySportsbook.com, a leading online sportsbook for over 8 years, is the first to offer baseball sports betting lines on who will win the 2007 World Series.

"The World Series is the biggest baseball event in the sports betting world and MySportsbook.com is excited that we are first to market with betting lines on every team," says Tim Dalton, Marketing Director, MySportsbook.com. "We are getting things ready for a great baseball season and our members are looking forward to our Player Payback Bonuses, as well as Dime Lines, all season long."

Going in to this weekend, MySportsbook.com's favorites to win the World Series are the New York Yankees at 7-2 and last year’s winners the Chicago White Sox at 9-2.

"These betting lines are ripe for the picking," Dalton added, "baseball fans know that the season is long and many factors, including players staying healthy, will affect these Future odds as the baseball season progresses. Betting on your favorite team in the beginning of the season could prove quite lucrative. We are seeing examples of this right now in the NCAA College Basketball Tournament with a lucky few that placed pre-season bets on George Mason to win it all. Anything can happen."

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